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Wednesday, October 6, 2021

As the debt ceiling debate rages on today, mostly in the media and in halls of Congress, it is probably worthwhile to take a big picture look at what the public debt is and put it in some context. First, public debt is very different...

 

Thursday, July 29, 2021

I just got back from two weeks in Kenya. Never saw a McDonalds, but that doesn’t mean they don’t have them. And I was curious about the price of Big Macs there. Having travelled a lot over the years, it always fascinates me...

 

Thursday, June 17, 2021

The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), the voting members of the Federal Reserve, met over the last two days and made their normal statement and Chairman Powell held the usual press conference. Nothing changed. Nothing moved...

 

Monday, April 19, 2021

A lot of attention recently has been focused on crypto-currencies and related financial instruments. Some dismiss cryptos as a fad, while others speak in an almost religious tone about their favorite blockchain coins. But to really...

 

Tuesday, March 23, 2021

In case you haven’t noticed, the US housing market is hot and getting hotter. For many, this would seem to mean there is a bubble that’s sure to pop anytime now. Let’s take a closer look. According to the National...

 

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Monday, February 22, 2021

One question we get a lot from clients is about the future of inflation. It’s a big question and a complex topic and like most in that category, it’s not easy to answer with any certainty. But there are a few tools we can...

 

Thursday, January 28, 2021

I have never sold a stock short. I know you can make money doing it, but the math says you probably won’t, at least not in any consistent fashion. Still, there are any number of hedge funds and institutional investors that spend...

 

Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Lumpy Data We are telling clients we expect Q4 and Q1 economic data to be “lumpy.” Huh? What’s that supposed to mean? Basically, we’re talking about inconsistent results. As we head into Q4 earnings season here,...

 

Sunday, December 20, 2020

This time of year my inbox is full of investment outlook pieces from all the major investment management firms, including LPL. Below is a link to the LPL 2021 outlook. Today we want to summarize some of the more prevalent themes in the...

 

Friday, November 20, 2020

We are now past the historic US presidential election cycle of 2020. Most of us are just glad the endless grind of campaign advertising is gone. While the results of the elections are not actually official until the states certify...

 

Friday, October 16, 2020

Inflation Protection What can you do to protect yourself from the price of things going up? As a follow up to our last blog post, we want to give some thought to the topic of inflation protection. Let’s first say we are not...

 

Thursday, September 3, 2020

There is a grand debate brewing between economists about the future economic environment centered around the belief that the economy will be mostly deflationary versus, on the opposite side, those who are counting on and preparing for...

 

Friday, August 21, 2020

EverVest blog 08/15/20 Not All Government Spending is Equal As the US Congress hashes out what to do about further Coronavirus stimulus, it might be a good thing for us to think about what government spending really looks like. Most of...

 

Friday, August 7, 2020

Last week’s historically awful GDP number was shocking, down 32.9%. But when we get into the details of the component parts of that negative print, what we really see is how much the economy has changed over the last 40 years or...

 

Thursday, July 23, 2020

The World Bank lays out a rather stark prediction in its June 2020 Global Growth Prospects report. But before we dive in to that, let’s first consider how unusual it is to have a synchronized global economy like we do right now....

 

Wednesday, July 8, 2020

I have never taken one of those stress tests where they connect you to some kind of a device and make you run on a treadmill… sounds stressful! Thankfully, my doctor hasn’t said I needed to do one. But, our banking system...

 

Thursday, June 25, 2020

The bond market may not be the most interesting thing to study in economics, but it has an outsize effect on just about everything that has to do with money. Since the pandemic hit earlier this year, interest rates across the board...

 

Friday, June 5, 2020

Over my entire life we have always had a family dog. Every kind of breed formed part of our pack from little fuzzy yappers to big furry quiet types; hairless, hyper and all kinds of temperaments. So what do dogs have to do with what we...

 

Thursday, May 21, 2020

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome “Jay” Powell made some interesting remarks in a 60 Minutes interview last Sunday, including promises of further support for the economy from the Fed. But he was also blunt about his reading of...

 

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

As a small business owner and economics nerd, I always like to check in with the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index reported each month by the National Federation of Independent Business. It’s a monthly survey that asks almost...

 

Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Pop quiz!! What went up 424% since last year? How about a rise of 647%? What showed that kind of an increase since a year ago? The answer is not housing prices. So, do you think the average house price went up or down in the last...

 

Thursday, April 30, 2020

The news this morning sounds alarming; GM has suspended its dividend. And according to today’s Wall Street Journal, GM is not alone. So far this year, more companies have suspended or canceled their dividends than in the previous...

 

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Oil closed at negative $37.63 per barrel; that’s minus -$37.63. It was a historic, never-seen-before moment. In the world of futures and commodities trading, it is hard to get your head around the mechanics, but it’s the...

 

Tuesday, April 14, 2020

It is almost certain we are in a recession at this point. Many analysts believed the possibility of going into recession in 2020 was fairly high at the beginning of the year, but nobody expected an almost total shutdown of the world...

 

Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Warren Buffett has so many great quotes about investing. I am reminded of this one today: “Every decade or so, dark clouds will fill the economic skies, and they will briefly rain gold. When downpours of that sort occur, reach...